Load coordination forecasting method based on information re-modification
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    Abstract:

    The accuracy of load forecasting and the matching of planning are becoming more and more important. Due to the existence of forecasting errors, the results of different levels of load forecasting will be inconsistent and inconsistent in multilevel load forecasting. To solve this problem, a load coordination forecasting method based on information re-amendment is proposed. Firstly, the reliability of the prediction results is calculated by taking the prediction error of the prediction results one year before the prediction as the prior reference sequence, then the difference of load forecasting before and after the coordination of forecasting years under the same forecasting method is taken as a new reference sequence. Replace the original reference sequence, re-correct the information, and obtain new credibility. The coordination forecasting model is established by using this credibility, and then the coordination results are obtained. Finally, the correctness of the proposed method is verified by the analysis and calculation of an example.

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History
  • Received:November 09,2018
  • Revised:December 21,2018
  • Adopted:January 02,2019
  • Online: March 28,2019
  • Published: March 28,2019