基于DK2-PLF的主动配电网馈线合环电流评估
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TM711

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贵州省科技支撑计划资助项目“主动配电网电气热储多能协同技术研究”


Active distribution network feeder loop closing current assessment based on DK2-PLF
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Science and Technology Support Plan of Guizhou Province([2023]329)、Science and Technology Support Plan of Guizhou Province([2023]290)

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    摘要:

    合环电流评估技术对于配电网馈线合环转供电操作具有重要意义,为了提高主动配电网馈线合环电流计算的准确性,文中从融入源荷数据分布特性及预测的角度,提出基于双重K2算法和概率潮流(double K2 algorithm and probability load flow,DK2-PLF)的主动配电网馈线合环电流评估方法。首先,采用基于DK2算法的贝叶斯网络描述源荷相关性样本;其次,利用Cholesky分解方法处理获得的源荷相关性样本,以半不变量法计算主动配电网馈线合环电流的累积概率分布;然后,对主动配电网馈线合环电流从合环成功率和越限程度两方面进行安全性评估;最后,以贵州某城市为算例,对10 kV配电网系统开展馈线合环电流评估研究。得出以下结论:一是从概率密度、累积分布、最大误差三方面比较,相比于K2算法,DK2算法源荷预测值的概率密度、累积分布误差较小,验证了DK2算法的优越性;二是从累积分布、最大误差两方面比较,采用Cholesky分解的半不变量法对比未采用Cholesky分解的半不变量法、蒙特卡洛法,其累积分布误差较小,采用Cholesky分解的半不变量法满足主动配电网馈线合环电流评估要求;三是从合环成功率、合环越限程度两方面比较,采用半不变量法计算的合环电流安全性指标结果与仿真结果偏差在电网经验误差5%范围内,说明基于DK2-PLF的主动配电网馈线合环电流评估方法可为合环辅助决策提供参考。

    Abstract:

    The research of loop closing current assessment has great significance for distribution network feeder loop closing operation to supply power. In order to enhance the accuracy of active distribution network feeder loop closing current calculation,an active distribution network feeder loop closing current assessment research method based on double K2 algorithm and probability load flow (DK2-PLF) is proposed in this paper,which also considers the prediction and distribution characteristics of source-load data. Firstly,Bayesian network based on DK2 algorithm is suggested to characterize the correlation of source-load samples. Secondly,the Cholesky decomposition method is proposed to deal with the predictive source-load samples,and the cumulative probability distributions of the loop closing current are calculated by cumulant method. Thirdly,the security assessment of the loop closing current is evaluated in terms of the success rate and the degree of exceeding the limit. Finally,taking a city in Guizhou as an example,the following conclusions are drawn from the study of 10 kV distribution system. Comparing from the aspects of probability density,cumulative distribution,and maximum error,the probability density and cumulative distribution errors of the DK2 algorithm are smaller than those of the K2 algorithm's predicted values,which verifies the superiority of DK2 algorithm. Comparing from the aspects of cumulative distribution,and maximum error,the cumulative distribution error of the cumulant method with Cholesky decomposition is smaller than that of the cumulant method without Cholesky decomposition and Monte Carlo method. The cumulant method with Cholesky decomposition meets the requirements of active distribution network feeder loop closing current assessment. Comparing from the aspects of loop closing success rate and the degree of exceeding the loop closing limit,the safety index of loop closing current computed by the cumulant method deviates from the simulation results is within 5% of the grid empirical error,which indicates that the active distribution network feeder loop closing current assessment method based on DK2-PLF can provide a reference for loop closing assisted decision-making.

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黄跃,荣娜,陈世威,郭元萍.基于DK2-PLF的主动配电网馈线合环电流评估[J].电力工程技术,2024,43(6):133-141

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  • 收稿日期:2024-06-01
  • 最后修改日期:2024-08-15
  • 录用日期:2024-07-18
  • 在线发布日期: 2024-11-26
  • 出版日期: 2024-11-28
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