山火灾害下输电系统的弹性评估方法及其提升措施
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TM715

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国家电网科技项目(基于空天地协同的电力线路山火监测和故障预警技术研究,项目编号为521304220007)


Resilience assessment method and enhancement measures of power transmission system under mountain fire disasters
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    摘要:

    弹性能反映电力系统应对极端灾害的抵御能力和恢复能力。输电系统作为电力系统中的重要组成部分,在小概率-高损失的山火灾害事件中,往往会发生大面积停电事故。文中提出一种考虑山火灾害全过程的输电系统弹性评估框架。首先定量分析极端山火灾害对输电线路故障率的影响,建立火点位置与线路故障率之间的数学关系,并利用系统信息熵获取典型故障场景以描述山火灾害可能导致的故障规模;其次,结合故障元件的地理位置、检修人员调度资源和修复时间等因素,构建以最小化山火灾害下负荷削减量为目标的输电系统恢复模型,提出考虑灾害全过程的输电系统弹性评估方法;最后,以IEEE RTS-79节点输电系统为例,验证了所提模型和弹性评估方法的有效性。算例结果表明,该评估方法可有效、全面地衡量各因素对输电系统弹性提升性能的影响。此外,定量分析了3种典型弹性提升技术措施的效果,为电力部门应对极端山火灾害制定防御及恢复策略提供了可量化的参考依据。

    Abstract:

    Resilience describes the system capability of defense and recovery to extreme disasters. The transmission system, as an important part of the power system, may occur large-area power blackouts under extreme mountain fire disasters which are low-probability but highly-risk events. A resilience assessment framework considering the whole process of disaster under extreme mountain fire disasters is developed. Firstly, the influence of extreme mountain fire disaster on transmission line failure rate is quantitatively analyzed, and the mathematical relationship between the location of fire point and the line failure rate is established. Then, failure scenarios are obtained by using the system information entropy to describe the possible failure scale that caused by mountain fire disasters. Secondly, considering the geographical location of failure components, repair crews dispatch and repair time, the power transmission system restoration model, aiming at minimizing load reduction under mountain fire disasters, is established. The resilience assessment method of power transmission system considering the whole process of disasters is proposed. Finally, taking IEEE RTS-79 bus system as an example, the effectiveness of the proposed model and the resilience assessment method is verified. The numerical results show that the proposed method can effectively and comprehensively measure the influence of various factors on the elastic performance of transmission system. In addition, the effects of three typical technical measurements on improving elasticity are quantitatively analyzed, which provides a quantifiable reference for the power sector to formulate prevention and recovery strategies for extreme wildfires.

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方超颖,许军,丁志龙,程韵初,郑钟楠,张亚超.山火灾害下输电系统的弹性评估方法及其提升措施[J].电力工程技术,2024,43(2):239-247

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  • 收稿日期:2023-09-26
  • 最后修改日期:2023-12-08
  • 录用日期:2023-04-10
  • 在线发布日期: 2024-03-21
  • 出版日期: 2024-03-28
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