基于事件驱动的配电信息物理连锁故障演化机理
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国家自然科学基金资助项目(U2166210)


The evolution mechanism of the cyber-physical cascading failure of power distribution system based on event-driven
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    摘要:

    随着通信与控制技术在配电系统中的迅速发展,配电系统逐渐呈现出信息物理系统的典型特征,这既带来了崭新的发展机遇,也将信息系统中的多类型风险引入到了电力系统。多类型风险易使电网中信息物理连锁故障频发,导致严重事故。因此,分析与研究信息物理连锁故障的演化过程与故障后果,探索信息物理连锁故障演化的内在机理具有重要的理论与现实意义。文中基于事件驱动模型提出配电信息物理系统架构,分析物理与信息系统的交互机理,提出信息物理连锁故障演化机理研究框架。然后,对信息系统内部节点重要度进行研究,综合考虑系统总风险值与防御资源,计算信息节点被攻击成功概率等相关参数并建立相关矩阵。最后,在算例上进行信息物理连锁故障演化机理的仿真计算,得出了发生信息物理连锁故障时系统会承受更大的风险且可能导致更大损失的结论,验证了所提机理在故障过程推演和后果计算上的有效性。

    Abstract:

    With the rapid development of communication and control technology in power distribution system,it has gradually shown the typical characteristics of cyber-physical systems,which not only brings new opportunities for development,but also brings multiple types of risks in the information system to the power system. As a result,cyber-physical cascading failures in the power system have occurred frequently,leading to serious accidents. Therefore,analyzing and studying the evolution process and failure consequences of cyber-physical cascading failures and exploring the internal mechanism of cyber-physical cascading failures have important theoretical and practical significance. Based on the event-driven model,an architecture of power distribution cyber-physical system is proposed to analyze the interaction mechanism between physical and information systems,and a research framework for the evolution mechanism of cyber-physical cascading failures is proposed. Then,the importance of the internal nodes of the information system is studied,the total risk value of the system and the defense resources are comprehensively considered,and the relevant parameters such as the probabilities of the information nodes being successfully attacked are calculated and the correlation matrices are established. Finally,a simulation of the evolution mechanism of cyber-physical cascading failures is carried out on a case,which verifies the rationality of the proposed mechanism and its validity in the deduction of the failure process and the calculation of the consequences.

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黄植,刘东,陈冠宏,翁嘉明,殷浩洋,王臻.基于事件驱动的配电信息物理连锁故障演化机理[J].电力工程技术,2022,41(3):2-13

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  • 收稿日期:2022-02-11
  • 最后修改日期:2022-04-17
  • 录用日期:2022-04-07
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-05-24
  • 出版日期: 2022-05-28