演化博弈视角下需求侧参与电力市场的策略均衡稳定性分析综述
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TM732

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国家自然科学基金资助项目(52171331);广东省自然科学基金资助项目(2023A151501131)


A review on the strategy equilibrium stability analysis of demand-side participation in the electricity market from an evolutionary game perspective
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    摘要:

    随着新能源渗透率的不断提升,电力市场的结构发生了深刻变化,尤其是需求侧资源参与电力市场在提升电力系统灵活性以及推动低碳转型等方面的作用愈发突出。传统的供给侧调控逐渐转向以需求侧调控为主的多主体决策模式,涉及政府、电力供应商、电网运营商和消费者等多个主体之间的复杂博弈。演化博弈论(evolutionary game theory, EGT)作为研究多主体动态博弈和策略演化的重要工具,在电力市场的需求侧参与分析中展示了独特优势。与传统博弈论不同,EGT充分考虑有限理性、不完全信息以及策略演化的动态过程,能够有效分析不同激励和政策框架下的市场均衡状态与稳定性。文中综述EGT在电力市场中的应用,重点分析基于EGT的需求侧参与的电力市场策略演化过程及均衡机制,探讨EGT如何帮助理解和预测多主体博弈中的策略调整、政策激励对市场稳定性的影响,并展望未来研究方向。通过对现有文献的整理与分析,为政策制定者、市场监管者和研究人员提供理论框架和实践参考,以促进新能源背景下电力市场的协同演化与可持续发展。

    Abstract:

    With the increasing penetration of renewable energy sources, there has been a profound structural transformation in electricity markets, particularly in the operational paradigm where demand-side resources participate in market mechanisms. This evolution underscores the critical role of demand-side flexibility in enhancing grid resilience and accelerating low-carbon transition pathways. The traditional supply-side regulation is gradually shifting towards a multi-agent decision-making model dominated by demand-side management, involving complex interactions among government, electricity suppliers, grid operators, and consumers. Evolutionary game theory (EGT), as an important tool for studying multi-agent dynamic games and strategy evolution, demonstrates unique advantages in analyzing demand-side participation in the electricity market. Unlike traditional game theory, EGT accounts for bounded rationality, incomplete information, and dynamic strategy adaptation, enabling effective analysis of market equilibrium and stability under different incentives and policy frameworks. A comprehensive review of the applications of EGT in the electricity market is provided in this paper, focusing on the strategy evolution and equilibrium mechanisms of demand-side participation. It explores how EGT helps to understand and predict strategy adjustments and the impact of policy incentives on market stability in multi-agent games. The paper also looks forward to future research directions. By organizing and analyzing the existing literature, this review offers a theoretical framework and practical reference for policymakers, market regulators, and researchers to facilitate the collaborative evolution and sustainable development of the electricity market under the context of renewable energy.

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程乐峰,邹涛,倪曼琦,陈傲立,董健,朱继忠.演化博弈视角下需求侧参与电力市场的策略均衡稳定性分析综述[J].电力工程技术,2025,44(3):3-17,96

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  • 收稿日期:2024-12-20
  • 最后修改日期:2025-04-28
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-04
  • 出版日期: 2025-05-28
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