考虑源荷不确定性的电力系统灵活调度策略
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TM73

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国家自然科学基金资助项目(62176146)


Flexible scheduling strategy for power systems considering source-load uncertainty
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    摘要:

    针对新能源电力系统中源荷不确定性导致的系统调度灵活性严重不足问题,文中提出了一种考虑源荷不确定性的电力系统两阶段鲁棒优化模型。根据源荷不确定性特征,结合K-means法和鲁棒优化理论,在多时间尺度对电力系统灵活性需求进行量化。首先,建立日前鲁棒调度模型,充分挖掘火电机组、抽水蓄能等资源的灵活调节潜力,将火电灵活改造及抽水蓄能抽发状态作为模型的第一阶段决策变量,各灵活资源的出力作为第二阶段决策变量,并以灵活改造成本、碳排放成本及运行成本最小为优化目标。其次,在模型求解中,将所建立的两阶段鲁棒模型转化为相对独立的主问题和子问题,并采用列与约束生成(column and constraint generation,C&CG)算法和强对偶理论反复迭代,以逼近最优解。最后,通过算例验证,所提出的优化调度策略在满足灵活性需求的基础上,统筹各类资源,实现了系统中经济性、环保性、灵活性的均衡,并增强了对源荷不确定性风险的抵御能力。

    Abstract:

    A two-stage robust optimization model of power system considering source-load uncertainty is proposed,to address the serious lack of system scheduling flexibility caused by the source-load uncertainty in new energy power systems. According to the characteristics of source-load uncertainty,the K-means method and robust optimization theory are combined to quantify the flexibility demand of the power system at multiple time scales. Firstly,the robust dispatch model is established,and the flexible regulation potentials of thermal power units,pumped storage and other resources are fully exploited.The flexible transformation of thermal power units and pumped storage pumping status are included in the first stage of the model,and the output of the flexible resources is taken as the second stage of the decision variables. The optimization objective of the model is to minimize the cost of retrofitting,carbon emission and operating costs. The two-stage robust model is transformed into relatively independent main problems and sub-problems,and the column constraint generation (C&CG) algorithm and strong dyadic theory are adopted to iterate repeatedly to approximate the optimal solution. Finally,the proposed optimal scheduling strategy is verified through examples,so that the proposed optimal scheduling strategy can integrate all kinds of resources based on meeting the demand for flexibility,which achieve the balance of economy,environmental protection,and flexibility in the system,and improve the ability to resist the risk of uncertainty in the source load.

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闫群民,任效煜,宋潇,赵梦珏,安晨.考虑源荷不确定性的电力系统灵活调度策略[J].电力工程技术,2025,44(2):172-184

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  • 收稿日期:2024-07-23
  • 最后修改日期:2024-09-30
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-04-03
  • 出版日期: 2025-03-28
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