改进严重度模型下计及二次系统影响的电网风险评估
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TM715

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Grid risk assessment based on the improved severity model considering the influence of secondary system
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    摘要:

    针对现有电网安全风险评估方法未充分考虑不同一次设备、负荷重要程度以及二次系统性能的影响,文中提出一种改进严重度模型下计及二次系统影响的电网静态安全风险评估方法。首先,分析继电保护隐性故障、自动重合闸成功率以及自动切负荷装置对风险评估的影响,并建立相应的风险评估模型;然后,在基于效应理论的严重度模型中引入重要程度因子,对系统中线路、母线和负荷的重要度进行量化,提出改进严重度模型的风险指标评估方法。最后,对改进IEEE-RTS79测试系统进行风险评估,验证了所提模型及方法可有效辨识电力系统中的薄弱环节,且较传统风险评估方法更符合系统实际,为电力系统运维检修和风险管控提供了参考依据。

    Abstract:

    The existing power grid security risk assessment methods do not fully consider the impact of different primary equipment, load importance and secondary system performance. Grid static security risk assessment method considering the influence of secondary system based on the improved severity model is proposed. Firstly, the effects of hidden faults of relay protection, automatic reclosing success rate and automatic load-cutting devices on risk assessment are analyzed, and corresponding risk assessment model is established. Then, by quantifying the importance of lines, buses and loads, a risk index quantification method of the improved severity model is proposed which introduces the importance degree factor into severity model. The proposed method is applied to the improved IEEE-RTS79 testing system. It is verified that the proposed model and method can effectively identify the weak links in the power system, and are more in line with the system reality than traditional risk assessment methods. The proposed method can provide a reference for power system operation, maintenance, and risk management.

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许鹏程,林建森,林缔,廖剑波,官语,林焱.改进严重度模型下计及二次系统影响的电网风险评估[J].电力工程技术,2021,40(2):212-219

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  • 收稿日期:2020-09-08
  • 最后修改日期:2020-10-20
  • 录用日期:2020-05-17
  • 在线发布日期: 2021-04-02
  • 出版日期: 2021-03-28
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